Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf750…2b05
crypto · 24 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses9 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 24
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$1
other 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 9¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -11.8% -20.2% 39% 35% -8.4%
≤30d 23 -11.8% -20.2% 39% 35% -8.4%
≤90d 23 -11.8% -20.2% 39% 35% -8.4%
all 23 -11.8% -20.2% 39% 35% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.2% 35% -8.4%
10% -27.8% 35% -17.2%
15% -34.8% 35% -25.2%
20% -41.2% 35% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $2.00 · 46 history records