Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf74b…844e
other · 43 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses10 / 33
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)43 / 43
History coverage600d
Avg bet$150
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 0 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $7 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $11 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $101 $0 -0%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 05 $11 $0 -0%
Will Solana reach $100 in May? Jun 05 $13 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? Jun 05 $25 $0 +1%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $21 $0 -0%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 21 $10 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 19 $10 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 18 $99 $0 -0%
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 18 $9 +$9 +90%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 13 $45 $0 -0%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 12 $7 +$5 +65%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? May 11 $42 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 07 $43 $0 -0%
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 06 $43 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3? May 06 $16 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5? May 06 $18 $0 +0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 02 $46 $0 -0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? May 02 $44 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 02 $45 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $45 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $45 $0 -0%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 30 $90 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju Apr 27 $47 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $47 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $45 $0 -0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 19 $43 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? Apr 09 $3 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $140 in March? Apr 09 $6 $0 +1%
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? Feb 27 $12 $0 -3%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Feb 09 $12 $0 +0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jul 15 $17 −$2 -11%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jun 17 $2 $0 -7%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 17 $55 −$1 -2%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 12 $34 −$1 -2%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 06 $16 $0 +3%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $301 −$2 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 31 $1,180 −$4 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 27 $1,750 −$3 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 21 $2,011 −$8 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 82% −$16
other 12% −$3
sports 3% +$12
tech 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
economics 1% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $7 1h
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 5d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 5d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $9 6d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $9 6d
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $11 7d
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $11 7d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $11 16d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $11 16d
Will Solana reach $100 in May? BUY No 100¢ $13 16d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 20d
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? BUY No 99¢ $25 21d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $10 22d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 22d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $57 25d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $57 25d
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals BUY St. Louis Cardinals 52¢ $9 27d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $45 30d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $45 30d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $42 32d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $42 32d
Pistons vs. Cavaliers BUY Cavaliers 60¢ $7 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 13 +6.9% -3.3% 23% 8% -7.3%
≤90d 32 +4.8% -5.2% 25% 6% -8.5%
all 43 +3.0% -6.8% 23% 5% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.8% 5% -9.6%
10% -15.7% 5% -18.3%
15% -23.8% 5% -26.2%
20% -31.3% 5% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 294 history records