trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +5.8% | -4.3% | 71% | 71% | +26.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -11.8% | -20.2% | 50% | 50% | +2.9% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -13.3% | -21.5% | 50% | 45% | -2.6% |
| all | 22 | -13.3% | -21.5% | 50% | 45% | -2.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.5% | 45% | -2.6% |
| 10% | -29.0% | 41% | -11.9% |
| 15% | -35.9% | 27% | -20.4% |
| 20% | -42.2% | 23% | -28.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +55% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$3 | +27% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$3 | +28% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +38% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 04 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 04 | $1 | +$1 | +104% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | May 31 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | May 27 | $2 | −$1 | -52% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | May 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | May 16 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Apr 16 | $1 | −$1 | -56% |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi | Apr 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during Fox interview on Wednesday? | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during F | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | +33% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $1 | +$2 | +177% |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026? | Apr 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |