Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T08:58:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
F7 0xf738…a5df crypto 1341 markets active 0h ago coverage 69d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 68d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$337 (-1%) realized −$337 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate97%1295W / 46L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day30.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$102
7 days+$112
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$41
other 0% −$93
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1135 +0.2% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 1290 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1341 -1.3% -10.7% 97% 1% -9.6%
all 1341 -1.3% -10.7% 97% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 1% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 1% -18.3%
15% -27.1% 1% -26.2%
20% -34.2% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$11 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

69d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$337
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1295 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1341 / 1341
History coverage69d ⚠
Avg bet$29
Trades / day30.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1341 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 23 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 23 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 23 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 23 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $59 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records