Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:17:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf737…2f72
crypto · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$83 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$106
Realized−$74
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses10 / 17
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions15
Markets (closed)27 / 42
History coverage6d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 15 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$74
14 days−$74
30 days−$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Phoenix Mercury win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $19 $14 −$4 (-23%)
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes 20¢ 18¢ $15 $14 −$2 (-10%)
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Yes 55¢ 52¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-6%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 43¢ 42¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 55¢ 60¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+8%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Over 57¢ 56¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 48¢ 47¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 82¢ 82¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Will Diego Luna win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Will Los Angeles Sparks win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-9%)
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-28%)
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+22%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Minnesota Twins 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 19? Jun 13 $21 −$16 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$38 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +90%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $25 +$28 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 208.5 Jun 09 $15 −$2 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 56% −$85
sports 35% −$24
other 10% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes 4¢ $3 5m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 19? SELL Yes 1¢ $5 6m
Will Phoenix Mercury win the 2026 WNBA Finals? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 6m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 22m
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 28m
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 28m
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 35m
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 36m
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 37m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 55¢ $9 38m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 50m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 50m
Will Phoenix Mercury win the 2026 WNBA Finals? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 51m
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 54m
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? BUY Yes 55¢ $12 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 19? BUY Yes 5¢ $17 1h
Will Phoenix Mercury win the 2026 WNBA Finals? BUY Yes 1¢ $8 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 43¢ $10 1h
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? BUY Yes 20¢ $15 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 82¢ $4 1h
Will Phoenix Mercury win the 2026 WNBA Finals? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Phoenix Mercury win the 2026 WNBA Finals? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 BUY Over 57¢ $5 1h
Will Diego Luna win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 1h
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 1h
Will Phoenix Mercury win the 2026 WNBA Finals? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 19? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 BUY Over 57¢ $5 1h
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-33.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -26.1% -33.1% 37% 37% -32.5%
≤30d 27 -26.1% -33.1% 37% 37% -32.5%
≤90d 27 -26.1% -33.1% 37% 37% -32.5%
all 27 -26.1% -33.1% 37% 37% -32.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.1% 37% -32.5%
10% -39.5% 37% -38.9%
15% -45.4% 33% -44.8%
20% -50.7% 30% -50.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $105.83 · official $105.84 (match) · 77 history records