Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:30:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf72a…db6d
crypto · 1304 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$203 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$203 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$16
Realized−$203
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses983 / 319
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1302 / 1304
History coverage49d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day39.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$74
14 days−$70
30 days−$193
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 81¢ 76¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 67¢ 74¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+11%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 81¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 62¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 94¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 82¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 82¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 94¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 76¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 81¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 70¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 64¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 77¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 63¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 71¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 67¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 80¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 82¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 85¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 76¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 86¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 61¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 85¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 68¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 80¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -62%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$9 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$2 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -84%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$5 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$15 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$203
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down $0 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -12.7% -21.0% 62% 30% -20.0%
≤30d 487 -6.9% -15.7% 66% 38% -15.1%
≤90d 1302 -2.8% -12.0% 75% 43% -12.0%
all 1302 -2.8% -12.0% 75% 43% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 43% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 21% -20.4%
15% -28.1% 8% -28.1%
20% -35.2% 2% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.83 · official $12.88 · 2769 history records