Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:03:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf713…86fd
crypto · 100 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$70 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$40
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses19 / 48
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions33
Markets (closed)67 / 100
History coverage7d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day28.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 33 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$38
14 days−$40
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 7¢ 96¢ $1 $14 +$13 (+1266%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14? Yes 10¢ 19¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+90%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 14? Yes 38¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-30%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 14? Yes 21¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+36%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? Yes 38¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? Yes 49¢ 47¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-16%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-20%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-30%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14? Yes 24¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-44%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $11 $1 −$10 (-95%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-70%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-93%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12? No 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-89%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-86%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-97%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-88%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? Yes 10¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-89%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +160%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? Jun 12 $23 +$1 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 +$11 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -51%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 40% −$44
crypto 39% −$27
sports 13% +$9
other 3% +$10
tech 2% −$6
world 1% $0
finance 1% −$2
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1m
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 2m
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 1¢ $1 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 20¢ $1 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 40¢ $1 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 6h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13? SELL Yes 66¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13? BUY Yes 79¢ $4 7h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 7h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 8h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-43.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -37.7% -43.7% 28% 15% -27.9%
≤30d 67 -37.2% -43.2% 28% 16% -27.9%
≤90d 67 -37.2% -43.2% 28% 16% -27.9%
all 67 -37.2% -43.2% 28% 16% -27.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.2% 16% -27.9%
10% ← realistic here -48.6% 15% -34.8%
15% -53.6% 13% -41.1%
20% -58.1% 12% -46.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.72 · official $31.72 (match) · 227 history records