Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf70d…17d3
sports · 7 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$41 +29%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days+$41
14 days+$41
30 days+$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 66¢ 66¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $25 +$17 +67%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $30 +$20 +67%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $20 +$11 +52%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $15 −$1 -9%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $20 −$5 -27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 66¢ $15 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $15 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $25 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 59¢ $30 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 54¢ $14 27h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL South Africa 45¢ $15 27h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 65¢ $20 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $15 29h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY South Africa 60¢ $20 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +30.1% +17.7% 60% 60% +24.0%
≤30d 5 +30.1% +17.7% 60% 60% +24.0%
≤90d 5 +30.1% +17.7% 60% 60% +24.0%
all 5 +30.1% +17.7% 60% 60% +24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +17.7% 60% +24.0%
10% +6.5% 60% +12.1%
15% -3.8% 60% +1.3%
20% -13.2% 60% -8.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.95 · official $29.95 (match) · 12 history records