Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:57:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F6 0xf6ef…34e7 crypto 1298 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$87 (+3%) realized +$87 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR64%break-even
Win rate64%832W / 466L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day69.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$234
7 days−$319
14 days−$550
30 days−$616
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$616
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 404 +1.4% -8.3% 65% 65% -6.7%
≤30d 1298 -1.5% -10.9% 64% 64% -9.6%
≤90d 1298 -1.5% -10.9% 64% 64% -9.6%
all 1298 -1.5% -10.9% 64% 64% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 64% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 63% -18.3%
15% -27.2% 57% -26.2%
20% -34.4% 34% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -19% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -19% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses832 / 466
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1298 / 1298
History coverage24d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day69.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1298 Trades
no open positions (362 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$6 -194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$8 -194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$4 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$4 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$8 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$10 -193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$4 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$4 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$4 -194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$4 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$4 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$4 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$6 -196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$6 -194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$6 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$10 -194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$10 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$6 -194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$6 -196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$6 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3254 history records