Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6ee…0e41
sports · 473 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19,557 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19,728 · open −$76
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,914
Realized−$19,728
Unrealized−$76
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses237 / 502
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Est. fees paid−$967
Open positions38
Markets (closed)739 / 473
History coverage15d
Avg bet$121
Trades / day219.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 38 History 739 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21,901
7 days−$21,690
14 days−$18,752
30 days−$19,728
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $703 $701 −$2 (-0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $530 $535 +$5 (+1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 85¢ 84¢ $408 $406 −$2 (-1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 71¢ 70¢ $355 $352 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 56¢ 56¢ $310 $312 +$2 (+1%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 62¢ $305 $308 +$2 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $306 $302 −$3 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 49¢ 46¢ $236 $224 −$12 (-5%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 36¢ 36¢ $177 $177 −$0 (-0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 43¢ 44¢ $172 $174 +$2 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 38¢ 100¢ $57 $150 +$93 (+163%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $148 $149 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 48¢ 62¢ $105 $138 +$33 (+31%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 25¢ 24¢ $125 $122 −$2 (-2%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 58¢ 60¢ $117 $122 +$5 (+4%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? No 57¢ 56¢ $114 $113 −$1 (-1%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $97 $97 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage MIBR 46¢ 50¢ $79 $86 +$8 (+10%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5 Under 40¢ 41¢ $84 $86 +$2 (+3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Under 36¢ 40¢ $72 $81 +$9 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Alliance 41¢ 50¢ $43 $52 +$9 (+21%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 9¢ 10¢ $45 $48 +$2 (+6%)
Will England win on 2026-06-23? No 24¢ 26¢ $34 $36 +$2 (+6%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Under 38¢ 44¢ $26 $30 +$4 (+14%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? No 62¢ 62¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $265 −$233 -88%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 12 $1 +$6 +960%
Counter-Strike: TNC vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Jun 12 $103 −$111 -108%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 12 $18 −$16 -87%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs ReThink (BO3) - European Pro League Re Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $59 −$74 -125%
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$97 -97%
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Closed Qua Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
O/U 4.5 Rounds Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? Jun 12 $412 −$412 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Kopriva vs. Jodar: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St Jun 12 $28 −$25 -90%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5) Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
FC Bayern München vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 12 $352 −$358 -102%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $53 −$51 -96%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $148 −$139 -94%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $37 −$34 -91%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $144 −$134 -94%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 12 $41 −$58 -142%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 12 $24 −$8 -34%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Jun 12 $161 −$166 -104%
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs ELITEN (BO1) - Parken Challenger Champion Jun 12 $27 −$24 -88%
World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia Jun 12 $225 −$225 -100%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07? Jun 12 $225 −$225 -100%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Jun 12 $17 −$27 -158%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $42 −$33 -79%
World Championships: Norway vs. Sweden Jun 12 $516 −$510 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% +$1,743
other 25% +$936
crypto 1% +$843
world 1% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 27¢ $108 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 80¢ $8 7m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 89¢ $27 9m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 78¢ $8 12m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 75¢ $8 15m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 69¢ $7 16m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 46¢ $5 34m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 46¢ $5 34m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 46¢ $115 34m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 88¢ $9 39m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 84¢ $8 40m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 84¢ $8 40m
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage SELL Alliance 50¢ $5 43m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 24¢ $16 48m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5 SELL Under 42¢ $6 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 24¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 24¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 24¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 24¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 56¢ $280 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $45 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 21¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 21¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 21¢ $0 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 21¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 41¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 70¢ $14 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 81¢ $8 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 70¢ $21 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 SELL Under 57¢ $114 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 526 -33.6% -40.0% 23% 17% -50.6%
≤30d 739 -16.1% -24.1% 32% 24% -34.9%
≤90d 739 -16.1% -24.1% 32% 24% -34.9%
all 739 -16.1% -24.1% 32% 24% -34.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover219.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.1% 24% -34.9%
10% ← realistic here -31.4% 19% -41.1%
15% -38.0% 17% -46.8%
20% -44.1% 16% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,914.25 · official $4,914.34 (match) · 3500 history records