Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6e0…4783
other · 57 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$86 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses12 / 45
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 57
Avg bet$306
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $12 $0 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 11 $11 $0 -0%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 10 $8 $0 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 09 $13 $0 -0%
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 08 $13 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 04 $10 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $24 $0 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $13 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? Jun 02 $24 $0 +0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $10 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $11 $0 -0%
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 30 $12 $0 -0%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 23 $10 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 18 $63 $0 -0%
Wild vs. Avalanche May 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 12 $66 $0 -0%
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 11 $68 $0 -0%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 08 $74 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 07 $73 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 06 $75 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4? May 06 $31 $0 +0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 27 $76 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $71 $0 -0%
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 21 $71 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $73 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Apr 19 $75 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $76 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 18 $69 $0 -0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $76 $0 +0%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 09 $8 +$6 +72%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $6 +$10 +165%
Sabres vs. Rangers Apr 09 $11 +$7 +70%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Bulls vs. Wizards Apr 08 $7 +$4 +48%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes Apr 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March? Apr 02 $49 $0 +0%
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs Mar 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bruins vs. Sabres Mar 27 $23 −$23 -100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m Mar 19 $24 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru Mar 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? Mar 05 $92 $0 +0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 09 $86 +$6 +8%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Dec 29 $13,518 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 07 $14 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $18 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 79% −$14
politics 14% −$9
other 4% −$27
sports 1% −$43
crypto 1% +$1
tech 1% +$6
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 1h
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 9h
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $11 29h
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 31h
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $8 47h
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $8 2d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 2d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $13 3d
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 30¢ $4 4d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $13 4d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $13 4d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $10 6d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 7d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 8d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 8d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $14 8d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $14 8d
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $13 10d
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $13 10d
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $10 11d
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $10 11d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $11 11d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $11 12d
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 13d
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 13d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? BUY No 99¢ $24 24d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -14.4% -22.6% 0% 0% -14.8%
≤30d 17 -11.9% -20.3% 6% 0% -12.8%
≤90d 44 -12.4% -20.8% 20% 9% -13.8%
all 57 -9.6% -18.2% 21% 7% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.2% 7% -10.0%
10% -26.1% 7% -18.6%
15% -33.2% 7% -26.4%
20% -39.8% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 272 history records