Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:05:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6df…c74b
crypto · 79 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses25 / 41
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions13
Markets (closed)66 / 79
History coverage29d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 13 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$0
14 days−$8
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 64¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 68¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 61¢ 62¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? Yes 62¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +250%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 +$6 +596%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$12 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$7 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$7 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 02 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 02 $4 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 02 $4 +$9 +208%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$23
sports 12% +$3
other 8% +$4
finance 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 46m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $2 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $4 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 61¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 61¢ $1 13h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? BUY Down 34¢ $1 25h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 29h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 29h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 29h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -0.2% -9.7% 40% 36% -9.7%
≤30d 66 -8.4% -17.1% 38% 35% -17.7%
≤90d 66 -8.4% -17.1% 38% 35% -17.7%
all 66 -8.4% -17.1% 38% 35% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.1% 35% -17.7%
10% -25.1% 33% -25.6%
15% -32.3% 30% -32.8%
20% -38.9% 30% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.03 · official $31.03 (match) · 132 history records