Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T04:31:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
F6 0xf6df…9f5e other 4 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge
Total PnL +$3 (+1%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +109% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +89% what you keep after slip
Net edge+89%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%1W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$64per market
Trades / day1.6pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$9now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% +$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+89.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +109.2% +89.3% 100% 100% +89.3%
≤30d 1 +109.2% +89.3% 100% 100% +89.3%
≤90d 1 +109.2% +89.3% 100% 100% +89.3%
all 1 +109.2% +89.3% 100% 100% +89.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +89.3% 100% +89.3%
10% +71.2% 100% +71.2%
15% +54.6% 100% +54.6%
20% +39.5% 100% +39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +109% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +109% · $-wt +109% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$109 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$9
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1 / 4
History coverage3d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $99 +$109 +109%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 100¢ $208 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 47¢ $99 9h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND BUY 10¢ $101 33h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $9 3d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND BUY 24¢ $48 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.19 · official $107.38 · 5 history records