Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6d2…7048
other · 202 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$499 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$499 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$499
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses103 / 99
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$172
Open positions0
Markets (closed)202 / 202
History coverage61d
Avg bet$161
Trades / day56.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 202 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$171
7 days−$11
14 days+$416
30 days−$372
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Birmingham (Doubles): Gibson/Tjen vs Preston/Swan Preston/Swan $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Anastasia Potapova 10¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $160 +$174 +109%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on Ju Jun 12 $201 −$42 -21%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $20 +$5 +25%
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? Jun 12 $153 −$124 -81%
Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on Ju Jun 12 $3 +$3 +108%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $104 −$101 -97%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 10 $413 −$86 -21%
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? Jun 10 $87 +$104 +120%
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary electio Jun 10 $182 −$41 -23%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 09 $180 −$1 -1%
Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia? Jun 09 $141 +$72 +52%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $138 −$34 -25%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $175 −$2 -1%
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by Jun Jun 09 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr Jun 07 $46 +$3 +8%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $264 +$104 +39%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $36 +$4 +12%
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? Jun 07 $41 +$14 +34%
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $0 $0 +869%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $11 −$1 -10%
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Jun 06 $25 −$3 -12%
ITF Banja Luka: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Allegra Korpanec Davies Jun 06 $57 −$43 -75%
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026? Jun 05 $0 $0 -33%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in June? Jun 05 $63 +$7 +12%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $69 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $8 +$38 +449%
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 05 $20 +$1 +2%
ITF Kayseri: Adhithya Ganesan vs Dimitris Azoidis Jun 05 $54 −$1 -3%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Bora Sengul Jun 05 $13 −$6 -48%
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? Jun 05 $9 +$2 +21%
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States m Jun 05 $15 +$5 +34%
ITF Cuiaba: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Victor Hugo Remondy Pagott Jun 04 $7 +$1 +19%
Birmingham (Doubles): Gibson/Tjen vs Preston/Swan Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 01 $59 −$7 -11%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $3,697 +$309 +8%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $297 +$23 +8%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 20 Jun 01 $1 $0 +29%
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5 May 31 $253 +$181 +72%
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? May 31 $917 −$166 -18%
Will "In the Grey" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatomete May 31 $8 −$8 -100%
XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch? May 31 $0 $0 -100%
Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? May 31 $15 −$9 -59%
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? May 31 $49 −$34 -69%
Will FaZe qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? May 31 $4 −$2 -50%
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May? May 31 $121 −$40 -33%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $431 +$40 +9%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 30 $379 +$97 +26%
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? May 29 $145 −$51 -35%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 29 $1,193 −$111 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 28% −$736
other 19% −$84
sports 18% −$411
politics 16% +$246
crypto 12% +$264
weather 4% +$3
tech 2% +$124
culture 1% −$21
finance 0% −$6
economics 0% +$122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 50m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 55m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 56m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $1 56m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 56m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $5 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $4 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $1 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $3 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $1 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $1 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $1 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $5 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $35 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $1 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $1 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes $0 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes $8 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes $0 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+23.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +39.4% +26.1% 48% 39% -9.9%
≤30d 94 +33.0% +20.3% 48% 36% -11.6%
≤90d 202 +36.6% +23.6% 51% 41% -10.9%
all 202 +36.6% +23.6% 51% 41% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +23.6% 41% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here +11.8% 30% -19.4%
15% +1.0% 23% -27.2%
20% -8.9% 19% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records