Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:10:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6cf…aba6
crypto · 14 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses5 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-34.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -28.0% -34.8% 36% 36% -31.4%
≤30d 14 -28.0% -34.8% 36% 36% -31.4%
≤90d 14 -28.0% -34.8% 36% 36% -31.4%
all 14 -28.0% -34.8% 36% 36% -31.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.8% 36% -31.4%
10% ← realistic here -41.1% 29% -38.0%
15% -46.8% 29% -44.0%
20% -52.0% 21% -49.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 36 history records