Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:38:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6c3…b1ac
crypto · 1114 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$38 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses580 / 534
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1114 / 1114
History coverage12d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day193.1
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$133
14 days+$38
30 days+$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 707 -4.0% -13.1% 52% 48% -11.5%
≤30d 1114 +0.4% -9.2% 52% 45% -9.2%
≤90d 1114 +0.4% -9.2% 52% 45% -9.2%
all 1114 +0.4% -9.2% 52% 45% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover193.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 45% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 38% -17.9%
15% -25.8% 26% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 18% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records