Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:57:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6b7…47e7
sports · 59 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$52 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$119
Realized+$32
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses24 / 30
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions5
Markets (closed)54 / 59
History coverage21d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 5 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$42
14 days−$31
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Under 75¢ 80¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+7%)
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Under 72¢ 72¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 36¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-6%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-12%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Over 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5 Over 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $20 +$4 +21%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $30 −$2 -6%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -28%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $50 +$2 +3%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $24 −$14 -59%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $100 +$8 +8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $50 +$7 +14%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $83 +$18 +22%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $71 +$1 +1%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $96 −$28 -29%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $20 −$1 -4%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $20 +$7 +36%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $20 −$1 -4%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $35 +$15 +42%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $64 +$17 +27%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $10 −$6 -58%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $20 −$2 -8%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $6 −$3 -44%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $25 −$3 -10%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $6 +$2 +34%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $7 −$5 -77%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $51 +$7 +14%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $50 +$10 +20%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 Jun 09 $50 −$10 -20%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $20 +$8 +42%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $20 +$11 +54%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $75 +$16 +21%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $41 −$28 -68%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $70 +$35 +50%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 07 $93 −$28 -30%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 07 $54 $0 -1%
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $51 −$4 -8%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $100 −$68 -68%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $50 −$18 -35%
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $23 −$2 -7%
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $30 −$2 -6%
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $30 −$1 -3%
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $20 −$1 -5%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 07 $7 +$2 +33%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 07 $13 +$9 +70%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $15 +$5 +36%
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $6 −$1 -8%
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $5 $0 -6%
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $5 −$1 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$53
other 22% −$17
crypto 3% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 56¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $30 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 72¢ $25 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $24 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $20 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 62¢ $10 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 44¢ $7 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 48¢ $12 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 77¢ $20 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $18 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $15 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 82¢ $10 33h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 23¢ $10 33h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 37h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 44h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $50 44h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 79¢ $40 44h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $40 47h
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 53¢ $30 47h
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 39¢ $20 47h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $15 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $109 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $50 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $50 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 87¢ $50 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 86¢ $102 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -5.5% -14.5% 44% 35% -10.2%
≤30d 54 -6.7% -15.6% 44% 37% -6.7%
≤90d 54 -6.7% -15.6% 44% 37% -6.7%
all 54 -6.7% -15.6% 44% 37% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 37% -6.7%
10% -23.7% 24% -15.6%
15% -31.0% 17% -23.8%
20% -37.8% 7% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $118.69 · official $118.69 (match) · 193 history records