trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +154.2% | +130.0% | 45% | 36% | -2.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +77.6% | +60.7% | 44% | 28% | -3.6% |
| all | 18 | +77.6% | +60.7% | 44% | 28% | -3.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +60.7% | 28% | -3.6% |
| 10% | +45.3% | 22% | -12.8% |
| 15% | +31.3% | 17% | -21.2% |
| 20% | +18.4% | 11% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 55¢ | 45¢ | $2,895 | $2,369 | −$526 (-18%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $351 | $205 | −$146 (-42%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $195 | $136 | −$59 (-30%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $49 | $61 | +$12 (+25%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | Yes | 9¢ | 1¢ | $161 | $18 | −$144 (-89%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | Jun 01 | $142 | +$92 | +65% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $54 | −$14 | -25% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 28 | $8,935 | −$626 | -7% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | May 26 | $13 | +$2 | +19% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | May 26 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $3,680 | +$1,630 | +44% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | May 23 | $11 | +$589 | +5364% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | May 23 | $2,640 | +$6 | +0% |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | May 12 | $216 | −$92 | -43% |
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs | May 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | May 07 | $56 | +$15 | +26% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 01 | $400 | +$30 | +8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 01 | $50 | +$5 | +9% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15? | Apr 28 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |