Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6ab…3579
crypto · 153 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$14
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses75 / 79
Open positions1
Markets (closed)154 / 153
History coverage10d
Avg bet$127
Trades / day325.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 154 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 36¢ 50¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 60¢ 50¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $87 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $108 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $110 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $109 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $93 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $68 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$8 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -3.1% -12.3% 54% 5% -9.7%
≤30d 154 -0.7% -10.2% 49% 3% -9.6%
≤90d 154 -0.7% -10.2% 49% 3% -9.6%
all 154 -0.7% -10.2% 49% 3% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover325.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 3% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 1% -18.2%
15% -26.6% 1% -26.1%
20% -33.8% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.02 · official $16.02 (match) · 3500 history records