Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:25:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6a3…9246
crypto · 20 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,549 -58%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,534 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$118
Realized−$2,534
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses6 / 12
Open positions2
Markets (closed)18 / 20
History coverage1d
Avg bet$221
Trades / day47.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,534
7 days−$2,534
14 days−$2,534
30 days−$2,534
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 61¢ 52¢ $82 $71 −$12 (-14%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Yes 27¢ 26¢ $50 $47 −$3 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $419 −$419 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $513 −$507 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $207 +$160 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $208 −$208 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $416 −$416 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$14 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $417 −$417 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $420 −$420 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $210 −$171 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $418 +$65 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $211 +$72 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $43 −$22 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$60 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $131 −$105 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $208 +$123 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$2,546
world 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $85 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $209 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $210 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $171 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $131 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $142 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $69 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $367 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $207 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $207 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $210 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $31 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $17 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $208 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $209 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $208 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $205 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $210 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $38 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $210 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $210 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $385 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $282 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-49.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -43.7% -49.0% 33% 33% -63.1%
≤30d 18 -43.7% -49.0% 33% 33% -63.1%
≤90d 18 -43.7% -49.0% 33% 33% -63.1%
all 18 -43.7% -49.0% 33% 33% -63.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.0% 33% -63.1%
10% ← realistic here -53.9% 28% -66.6%
15% -58.4% 22% -69.8%
20% -62.4% 22% -72.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $117.92 · official $113.88 · 60 history records