Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:13:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6a1…5a4f
sports · 822 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses436 / 382
Est. fees paid−$139
Open positions4
Markets (closed)818 / 822
History coverage57d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day47.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 4 History 818 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$41
14 days+$58
30 days−$145
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026? Yes 42¢ 50¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+18%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? No 44¢ 59¢ $15 $21 +$5 (+35%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Yes 59¢ 55¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes 10¢ 5¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-51%)
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19? No 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Cilic vs. Kouame: Match O/U 36.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien Cristian Garin 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? No 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-17? No 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FK Teplice win on 2026-05-16? No 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Fluminense FC leading at halftime? No 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? No 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? Jun 14 $38 +$8 +22%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 14 $48 −$3 -7%
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 Jun 14 $2 $0 -13%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +100%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? Jun 13 $7 −$4 -58%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $7 +$5 +80%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $12 +$13 +102%
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -47%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Jun 13 $17 −$8 -45%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 -21%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? Jun 11 $5 +$6 +118%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 11 $15 +$6 +40%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$3 +31%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $8 −$1 -16%
Will Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +20%
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 $0 -5%
Will Belgium vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 $0 +20%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 10 $6 +$1 +8%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 $0 +5%
Will Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Jun 10 $4 $0 +2%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $2 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 10 $8 $0 -2%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $2 $0 -1%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $4 $0 -1%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $2 $0 -2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 10 $4 $0 -7%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 +$2 +57%
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5) Jun 08 $1 $0 +8%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 $0 +26%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 $0 +23%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 +$1 +50%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +38%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $3 +$1 +39%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $7 +$6 +79%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Aruba win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $3 $0 +3%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 07 $5 +$1 +17%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $3 $0 +8%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $3 $0 +12%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $5 $0 +3%
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 $0 +2%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$35
other 8% −$48
world 2% +$39
politics 0% +$5
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 47¢ $5 24m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 26¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 26¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 28¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY No 31¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $4 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 74¢ $17 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 70¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 70¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY Yes 54¢ $9 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY Yes 55¢ $15 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 66¢ $13 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY No 62¢ $12 1h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 51¢ $0 3h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 50¢ $0 3h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 41¢ $15 4h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 27¢ $6 4h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 60¢ $4 7h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 46¢ $0 11h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 37¢ $9 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +8.2% -2.1% 49% 40% +4.9%
≤30d 377 +3.3% -6.5% 56% 50% -13.5%
≤90d 818 -0.6% -10.1% 53% 48% -9.9%
all 818 -0.6% -10.1% 53% 48% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 48% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 41% -18.5%
15% -26.5% 33% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 26% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.95 · official $49.95 (match) · 3500 history records