Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:18:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6a0…2212
crypto · 1325 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,171 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,172 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$2,172
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses927 / 625
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1552 / 1325
History coverage26d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day98.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1552 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,007
7 days−$2,011
14 days−$2,011
30 days−$2,172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 57¢ 72¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner L1ga Team 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 58¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner TDK 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Aim Possible vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Jun 13 $20 −$19 -95%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: TNC vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$8 -161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger Chin Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$24
sports 25% −$79
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 4m
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea SELL Oxuji Esports 99¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 16m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $7 18m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 1 Winner SELL fnatic 99¢ $9 20m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 1 Winner BUY fnatic 58¢ $5 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 57¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea BUY Oxuji Esports 79¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 76¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 603 -37.4% -43.4% 44% 43% -53.5%
≤30d 1552 -13.7% -21.9% 60% 56% -23.3%
≤90d 1552 -13.7% -21.9% 60% 56% -23.3%
all 1552 -13.7% -21.9% 60% 56% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 56% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -29.4% 35% -30.6%
15% -36.2% 15% -37.3%
20% -42.5% 11% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.36 · official $6.36 (match) · 3500 history records