trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -32.8% | -39.2% | 43% | 29% | -24.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 40% | 30% | -25.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 40% | 30% | -25.2% |
| all | 11 | -17.7% | -25.5% | 45% | 36% | -17.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.5% | 36% | -17.3% |
| 10% | -32.7% | 27% | -25.2% |
| 15% | -39.2% | 18% | -32.4% |
| 20% | -45.1% | 9% | -39.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $28 | $28 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Jun 22 | $21 | +$7 | +34% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs | Jun 18 | $37 | −$37 | -99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 18 | $62 | −$9 | -15% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$19 | -61% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 17 | $86 | +$1 | +1% |
| SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day | Jun 16 | $72 | +$8 | +11% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$37 | +122% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $22 | −$7 | -31% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $54 | −$53 | -98% |
| zkSync airdrop by April? | May 07 | $70 | +$30 | +43% |