Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf693…e96c
crypto · 7 markets active 147d ago
0.0score
−$52,865 -115%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52,865 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$52,865
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses5 / 86
Whale WR (big bets)9%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)91 / 7
Avg bet$6,565
Trades / day1739.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 91 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$257,006
7 days−$257,006
14 days−$257,006
30 days−$257,006
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2,350 $0 −$2,350 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $7,543 $0 −$7,543 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1,733 $0 −$1,733 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1,650 $0 −$1,650 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3,346 $0 −$3,346 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1,610 $0 −$1,610 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $346 $0 −$346 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $290 $0 −$290 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2,580 $0 −$2,580 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $401 $0 −$401 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1,820 $0 −$1,820 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $4,864 $0 −$4,864 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1,550 $0 −$1,550 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1,650 $0 −$1,650 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3,985 $0 −$3,985 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5,040 $0 −$5,040 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2,359 $0 −$2,359 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2,699 $0 −$2,699 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5,296 $0 −$5,296 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $7,911 $0 −$7,911 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2,450 $0 −$2,450 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2,350 −$2,350 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$248 +472%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $7,543 −$7,543 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,733 −$1,733 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,650 −$1,650 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3,346 −$3,346 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1,610 −$1,610 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $346 −$346 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $220 −$220 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $290 −$290 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2,580 −$2,580 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $401 −$401 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,820 −$1,820 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4,864 −$4,864 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,550 −$1,550 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1,650 −$1,650 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3,985 −$3,985 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5,040 −$5,040 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2,359 −$2,359 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2,699 −$2,699 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5,296 −$5,296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $7,911 −$7,911 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2,450 −$2,450 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,800 −$1,800 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $7,885 −$7,885 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,820 −$1,820 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,650 −$1,650 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2,364 −$2,364 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3,250 −$3,250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5,346 −$5,346 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,650 −$1,650 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $3,478 −$3,478 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5,806 −$5,806 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4,916 −$4,916 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2,700 −$2,700 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $11,123 −$11,123 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2,653 −$2,653 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $374 −$374 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $4,396 −$4,396 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,998 −$1,998 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3,476 −$3,476 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10,561 −$10,561 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $350 −$350 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2,599 −$2,599 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $6,566 −$6,566 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2,053 −$2,053 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2,458 −$2,458 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$204,141
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $48 147d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $21 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $12 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $4 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $30 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 149d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 149d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-72.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -93.2% -93.8% 1% 1% -99.9%
≤30d 84 -93.2% -93.8% 1% 1% -99.9%
≤90d 84 -93.2% -93.8% 1% 1% -99.9%
all 91 -69.7% -72.5% 5% 5% -25.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1739.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -72.5% 5% -25.3%
10% -75.2% 5% -32.4%
15% ← realistic here -77.6% 4% -39.0%
20% -79.8% 4% -45.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records