Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:22:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf68c…5366
crypto · 184 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$492 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$449 · open +$43
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$343
Realized+$449
Unrealized+$43
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses85 / 94
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)179 / 184
History coverage13d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 179 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$360
7 days+$915
14 days+$449
30 days+$449
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 98¢ $100 $209 +$109 (+109%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $100 $90 −$10 (-10%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 36¢ 22¢ $20 $12 −$8 (-38%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 1¢ $50 $2 −$48 (-96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$32 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$21 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$24 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$105 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$18 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$38 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$105 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$26 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$68 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$48 +451%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$21 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$14 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$35 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$28 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +103%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$451
other 4% +$89
sports 1% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $21 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $31 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $32 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $31 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $52 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $31 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $105 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $11 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $42 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $21 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 +7.0% -3.2% 50% 49% +14.1%
≤30d 179 +0.8% -8.8% 47% 46% -1.0%
≤90d 179 +0.8% -8.8% 47% 46% -1.0%
all 179 +0.8% -8.8% 47% 46% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 46% -1.0%
10% -17.5% 45% -10.5%
15% -25.5% 45% -19.1%
20% -32.8% 40% -27.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $342.95 · official $345.72 (match) · 312 history records