Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:49:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf683…9b71
crypto · 1026 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$597 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$650 · open +$52
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$245
Realized−$650
Unrealized+$52
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses454 / 558
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1012 / 1026
History coverage110d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day24.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 14 History 1012 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$68
7 days+$37
14 days−$74
30 days−$458
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team WE 22¢ 43¢ $31 $60 +$29 (+95%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 59¢ 100¢ $27 $46 +$19 (+70%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $46 $46 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner B8 39¢ 40¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+2%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team WE 15¢ 100¢ $4 $30 +$25 (+566%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) TheMongolz 60¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+67%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 56¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Vitality 49¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? No 58¢ 72¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+24%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? No 41¢ 29¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-29%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 46¢ 22¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-53%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 58¢ 70¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 86¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 51¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Gen.G 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $27 −$1 -3%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $58 +$40 +69%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $24 +$29 +122%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? Jun 09 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $48 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $48 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? Jun 09 $11 −$1 -8%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 09 $5 −$1 -10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $5 $0 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 09 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$5 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$5 -95%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $7 $0 +0%
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 09 $6 −$1 -10%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $7 $0 -5%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $6 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $6 $0 -5%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $25 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +47%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$1 +17%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $5 +$3 +59%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$1 +20%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 08 $5 $0 -5%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 08 $5 $0 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $5 −$2 -32%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 08 $40 +$22 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 08 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 46% −$328
sports 33% −$196
other 12% −$8
world 7% −$36
politics 1% −$16
finance 1% −$16
tech 0% +$1
weather 0% −$3
culture 0% +$3
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $32 25m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 46¢ $3 43m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 37¢ $3 48m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 45¢ $27 48m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 39¢ $27 52m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $27 54m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $26 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 15¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 46¢ $2 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $2 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $4 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $19 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $28 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $3 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $2 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $2 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $1 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $2 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $2 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $2 7h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 49¢ $2 7h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL No 81¢ $1 9h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $2 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 60¢ $4 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 87¢ $7 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 71¢ $20 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 89¢ $8 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 71¢ $21 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 63¢ $4 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $21 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +43.0% +29.4% 57% 49% -4.2%
≤30d 678 -0.0% -9.5% 46% 42% -20.9%
≤90d 722 -1.5% -10.9% 44% 39% -21.0%
all 1012 -2.0% -11.3% 45% 41% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 41% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 37% -27.7%
15% -27.6% 29% -34.6%
20% -34.7% 23% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $244.68 · official $244.12 (match) · 3009 history records