Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf681…9b77
sports · 34 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$7,981 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,955 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,562
Realized−$7,955
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses11 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)22%
Est. fees paid−$291
Open positions1
Markets (closed)33 / 34
History coverage51d
Avg bet$693
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$593
7 days+$874
14 days+$253
30 days−$4,417
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $2,588 $2,562 −$26 (-1%)
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Cavaliers 49¢ 0¢ $983 $0 −$983 (-100%)
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Ozarox Esports 54¢ 0¢ $748 $0 −$748 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 71¢ 0¢ $759 $0 −$759 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 24¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs Ozarox Esports 59¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Invictus Gaming 85¢ 0¢ $2,853 $0 −$2,853 (-100%)
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner T1 Academy 56¢ 0¢ $272 $0 −$272 (-100%)
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Ozarox Esports 54¢ 0¢ $281 $0 −$281 (-100%)
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) EDward Gaming 42¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 37¢ 0¢ $739 $0 −$739 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Falcons 59¢ 0¢ $838 $0 −$838 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA 25¢ 0¢ $843 $0 −$843 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $909 $0 −$909 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $818 −$96 -12%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $478 +$523 +109%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 11 $729 +$166 +23%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 07 $1,420 +$1,040 +73%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $765 −$759 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $2,192 −$485 -22%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $240 −$240 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 30 $95 +$105 +109%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $694 +$430 +62%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 Winner May 27 $145 −$139 -96%
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Cha May 27 $93 +$90 +97%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs May 26 $106 −$104 -99%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner May 26 $758 −$748 -99%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner May 26 $285 −$281 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 26 $758 −$739 -97%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 23 $848 −$838 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 23 $97 −$97 -99%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 23 $2,865 −$2,853 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $715 +$443 +62%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner May 17 $1,296 +$874 +67%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5 May 15 $923 −$909 -99%
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leag May 15 $141 +$99 +70%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 15 $346 +$100 +29%
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner May 13 $275 −$272 -99%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) May 07 $998 −$983 -98%
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) May 01 $90 −$88 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 01 $862 −$843 -98%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) Apr 27 $265 −$265 -100%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 27 $402 +$144 +36%
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5 Apr 26 $338 −$338 -100%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) Apr 25 $406 −$406 -100%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Apr 24 $487 −$487 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$7,981
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1,051 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $510 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1,066 1h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) BUY INOX Division 52¢ $5 15h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner SELL INOX Division 50¢ $5 15h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner BUY INOX Division 51¢ $5 15h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) BUY INOX Division 56¢ $116 15h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) BUY INOX Division 56¢ $116 15h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) BUY INOX Division 56¢ $116 15h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) BUY INOX Division 56¢ $116 15h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) BUY INOX Division 56¢ $116 15h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) BUY INOX Division 56¢ $116 15h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) BUY INOX Division 56¢ $115 15h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 81¢ $14 2d
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 81¢ $521 2d
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 81¢ $194 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $212 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $266 2d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 72¢ $741 5d
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Top Esports 57¢ $1,414 5d
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Top Esports 56¢ $6 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 56¢ $1 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 56¢ $23 5d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY JD Gaming 24¢ $45 7d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY JD Gaming 24¢ $195 7d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 12¢ $199 7d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 12¢ $0 7d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 12¢ $1 7d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 12¢ $53 7d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 12¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-42.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +14.8% +3.9% 50% 50% +9.3%
≤30d 24 -18.0% -25.8% 42% 42% -33.4%
≤90d 33 -36.2% -42.3% 33% 33% -44.1%
all 33 -36.2% -42.3% 33% 33% -44.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -42.3% 33% -44.1%
10% -47.8% 33% -49.4%
15% -52.9% 27% -54.3%
20% -57.5% 24% -58.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,561.62 · official $2,561.62 (match) · 137 history records