Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:15:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf67f…3f61
other · 46 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$38 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$114
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses20 / 19
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)39 / 46
History coverage99d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 7 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-2%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-3%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 43¢ 100¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+131%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 57¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 95¢ 88¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Trail Blazers vs. Suns Suns 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? No 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$4 -36%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $9 +$10 +109%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? May 19 $80 +$19 +24%
Trail Blazers vs. Suns Apr 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? Apr 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Apr 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Apr 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Apr 13 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Apr 08 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Apr 05 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Apr 05 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Apr 05 $4 −$2 -48%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 25? Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 24? Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 25? Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 25? Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Apr 05 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Apr 04 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Apr 03 $5 +$1 +26%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31? Apr 01 $10 +$10 +101%
Nuggets vs. Suns Mar 25 $3 +$1 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 24? Mar 24 $2 +$3 +163%
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? Mar 24 $2 +$2 +82%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? Mar 23 $2 −$1 -33%
US forces enter Iran by March 31? Mar 23 $67 +$15 +22%
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? Mar 22 $6 −$6 -100%
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? Mar 22 $1 $0 +2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? Mar 22 $1 $0 +15%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Mar 18 $15 +$1 +7%
US forces enter Iran by March 14? Mar 09 $5 +$1 +21%
US forces enter Iran by March 7? Mar 08 $80 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 53% +$31
other 33% +$16
crypto 7% −$18
sports 5% +$10
weather 1% −$1
finance 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 43¢ $5 56m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 39¢ $6 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 9h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 25¢ $5 10h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 10h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 66¢ $5 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 10h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 18h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 71¢ $10 19h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $19 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $9 36h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 39h
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $10 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 3d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $15 5d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 68¢ $5 5d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $5 5d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 68¢ $10 8d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 9d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 9d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 67¢ $5 9d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $10 9d
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY Yes 95¢ $10 25d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $80 36d
Trail Blazers vs. Suns BUY Suns 60¢ $2 61d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 68d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +8.4% -1.9% 50% 50% +14.4%
≤30d 7 +10.6% +0.0% 57% 57% +12.8%
≤90d 37 -21.2% -28.7% 49% 38% +0.6%
all 39 -19.6% -27.2% 51% 38% -1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.2% 38% -1.2%
10% -34.2% 31% -10.7%
15% -40.5% 23% -19.3%
20% -46.4% 13% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $114.28 · official $111.72 · 95 history records