Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:57:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F6 0xf67d…c986 crypto 1252 markets active 1h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$8,490 (-28%) realized −$8,490 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate45%614W / 760L
Whale WR23%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day93.8pace
Fees−$456est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 88% +$418
crypto 12% −$175
tech 0% −$22
other 0% −$4
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 701 -5.2% -14.2% 41% 39% -97.8%
≤30d 1374 -2.6% -11.8% 45% 42% -66.8%
≤90d 1374 -2.6% -11.8% 45% 42% -66.8%
all 1374 -2.6% -11.8% 45% 42% -66.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover93.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 42% -66.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 39% -70.0%
15% -28.0% 29% -72.9%
20% -35.0% 23% -75.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -64% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -64% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 23% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -0% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$21 vs −$78 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.21 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,490
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses614 / 760
Whale WR (big bets)23%
Est. fees paid−$456
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1374 / 1252
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$24
Trades / day93.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1374 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $205 −$205 -100%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag Jun 17 $279 −$279 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 17 $158 −$158 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 17 $373 −$373 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$44 +5018%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $1,979 −$1,979 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $1,591 −$1,591 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $936 −$936 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Jun 17 $98 −$98 -100%
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $1,527 −$1,527 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $166 −$166 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $152 −$152 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $77 −$77 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $281 −$281 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +209%
Wizards vs. Cavaliers Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 17 $2,934 −$2,934 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $3,934 −$3,934 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $1,968 −$1,968 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $362 −$362 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +3151%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Jun 17 $486 −$486 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -69%
Dota 2: 1win vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $1,910 −$1,910 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $481 −$481 -100%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 15.5 Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Grou Jun 17 $99 −$99 -100%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $94 −$94 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $788 −$788 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $36 1h
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Amaru Gaming 12¢ $5 4h
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Group B SELL Flame Team 100¢ $10 4h
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Amaru Gaming 9¢ $10 5h
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Group B BUY Flame Team 40¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records