Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf679…2d3d
sports · 28 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$4,288 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,288 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,288
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses29 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$2,149
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 28
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2,703
Trades / day1079.2
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,403
7 days+$4,288
14 days+$4,288
30 days+$4,288
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage Dynamo Esports $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 41¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 13¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage ex-Zero Tenacity $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sharks 18¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner ex-Zero Tenacity 13¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $9 −$2 -25%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Ameri Jun 13 $35 −$48 -137%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $0 +$60 +18971%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $15 +$13 +87%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $15 +$65 +442%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 13 $5 +$17 +331%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $35 −$79 -224%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $7 +$123 +1899%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $5 −$7 -151%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $1 +$12 +1241%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 G Jun 13 $1 +$153 +15320%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $25 −$32 -129%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $15 −$326 -2171%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $3 −$35 -1200%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $9 −$50 -574%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -111%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $5 −$24 -479%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $5 −$63 -1262%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $10 +$268 +2683%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $10 −$11 -114%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $5 +$32 +632%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5,706 +$424 +7%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $508 −$21 -4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6,248 +$70 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5,372 +$397 +7%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5,466 +$80 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,224 −$14 -1%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,728 +$71 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $6,182 +$369 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $272 +$44 +16%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $6,265 +$376 +6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5,318 +$380 +7%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $837 −$17 -2%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5,891 +$707 +12%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $772 −$21 -3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5,134 +$432 +8%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $124 +$59 +48%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $662 −$10 -2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4,029 +$282 +7%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,742 +$168 +6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,902 −$90 -5%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $444 +$10 +2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2,788 +$345 +12%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,896 +$54 +3%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $2,166 +$142 +7%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $63 −$7 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$4,222
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 64¢ $37 42m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 51¢ $15 42m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 52¢ $15 43m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 44¢ $8 44m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 44¢ $7 44m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 44¢ $46 44m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $14 44m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 49¢ $50 44m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $4 45m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 49¢ $159 45m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $24 46m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 47¢ $50 46m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $19 46m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $23 46m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $31 46m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $3 46m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 35¢ $51 50m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 40¢ $50 51m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 36¢ $51 51m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 36¢ $51 51m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 40¢ $41 53m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $50 53m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 51¢ $45 54m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 51¢ $5 54m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 51¢ $51 54m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 50¢ $120 54m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 41¢ $45 57m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 41¢ $5 57m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 42¢ $2 58m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 42¢ $2 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+226.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +261.2% +226.8% 57% 33% -3.3%
≤30d 51 +261.2% +226.8% 57% 33% -3.3%
≤90d 51 +261.2% +226.8% 57% 33% -3.3%
all 51 +261.2% +226.8% 57% 33% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1079.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +226.8% 33% -3.3%
10% +195.5% 27% -12.5%
15% ← realistic here +167.0% 27% -21.0%
20% +140.8% 24% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records