Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:52:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf669…9b8e
crypto · 70 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$1,300 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$561 · open −$88
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$690
Realized+$561
Unrealized−$88
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses37 / 26
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions7
Markets (closed)63 / 70
History coverage15d
Avg bet$313
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 7 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$603
7 days+$538
14 days+$538
30 days+$561
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 61¢ 58¢ $300 $287 −$13 (-4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $100 $96 −$4 (-4%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $100 $87 −$13 (-13%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $78 $80 +$2 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $50 $62 +$12 (+24%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 21¢ 22¢ $50 $54 +$4 (+7%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Yes 50¢ 12¢ $100 $25 −$75 (-75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $525 $0 −$525 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $411 +$240 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $612 +$235 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $919 +$387 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $512 +$273 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $715 +$140 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $416 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $335 −$325 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $156 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1,120 +$380 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $810 +$156 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $543 −$525 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $419 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $414 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $338 −$325 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $308 −$300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $206 −$82 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1,320 +$352 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1,523 +$421 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,023 +$509 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $406 +$96 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $921 −$721 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $505 +$73 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $723 −$700 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $209 +$75 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $233 +$199 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $202 +$34 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $204 +$93 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $821 +$589 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $207 +$211 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $206 −$39 -19%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $201 +$65 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$45 +44%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $51 +$72 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $412 +$315 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $208 +$35 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $204 +$72 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $205 +$97 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$28 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$89 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $245 +$132 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $201 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$159 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $206 +$143 +70%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $100 +$19 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $205 −$200 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$368
other 5% −$118
sports 1% +$318
finance 1% −$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $102 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $103 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $102 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $102 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $102 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $101 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $102 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $102 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $102 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $102 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $102 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $102 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $101 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $101 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +2.1% -7.6% 59% 57% -7.1%
≤30d 63 +1.1% -8.5% 59% 57% -7.0%
≤90d 63 +1.1% -8.5% 59% 57% -7.0%
all 63 +1.1% -8.5% 59% 57% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 57% -7.0%
10% -17.3% 46% -15.9%
15% -25.2% 35% -24.1%
20% -32.6% 21% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $689.72 · official $699.53 · 288 history records