Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:16:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf663…ea33
crypto · 537 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$103 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$97 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$97
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses356 / 171
Open positions10
Markets (closed)527 / 537
History coverage94d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 527 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$64
14 days−$64
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? No 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? No 52¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14? No 58¢ 58¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? No 60¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 14? No 49¢ 54¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 14? Yes 9¢ 22¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+139%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-70%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 14? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-85%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? No 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-97%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? No 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 11? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14? Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +51%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +47%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +25%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on June 10? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on June 10? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 10? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 10? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9? Jun 11 $18 −$11 -60%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10? Jun 11 $13 −$11 -84%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 10? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 10? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on June 10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 10? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 +$2 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 8? Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 11? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 9? Jun 08 $3 −$1 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10? Jun 08 $2 $0 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10? Jun 08 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Apr 23 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Apr 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Mar 26 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Mar 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Mar 16 $24 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Mar 16 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Mar 16 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Mar 16 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Mar 16 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Mar 16 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Mar 16 $9 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Mar 16 $8 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$33
weather 4% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 50¢ $2 8m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 58¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? BUY No 60¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 51¢ $3 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 50¢ $3 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? SELL No 59¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14? SELL No 58¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14? SELL No 56¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? SELL No 59¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? SELL No 50¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 57¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? BUY No 61¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 61¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 51¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 61¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 55¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 21h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 56¢ $3 21h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 33h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 33h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 33h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 33h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 43h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 46h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 46h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? BUY No 65¢ $3 2d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 71¢ $4 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 10? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -61.3% -65.0% 17% 14% -64.5%
≤30d 29 -61.3% -65.0% 17% 14% -64.5%
≤90d 234 -8.5% -17.2% 42% 6% -14.1%
all 527 -4.2% -13.3% 68% 3% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 3% -11.8%
10% -21.6% 2% -20.3%
15% -29.2% 2% -28.0%
20% -36.1% 1% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.96 · official $21.96 (match) · 1628 history records