trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 100% | 0% | -7.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 100% | 0% | -7.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 94% | 6% | -7.7% |
| all | 42 | +15.2% | +4.2% | 67% | 31% | -7.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.2% | 31% | -7.0% |
| 10% | -5.7% | 31% | -15.9% |
| 15% | -14.8% | 31% | -24.0% |
| 20% | -23.2% | 29% | -31.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marko Arnautovic: 3+ goals | No | 99¢ | 88¢ | $1,133 | $1,001 | −$132 (-12%) |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 63¢ | 38¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-39%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assists | Jun 28 | $1,112 | +$33 | +3% |
| Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assists | Jun 27 | $1,101 | +$22 | +2% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goals | Jun 26 | $1,100 | +$11 | +1% |
| Yuito Suzuki: 3+ goals | Jun 26 | $128 | +$1 | +1% |
| Deniz Undav: 3+ goals | Jun 25 | $128 | +$3 | +2% |
| Hwang Heechan: 3+ goals | Jun 25 | $126 | +$1 | +1% |
| Bilal El Khannouss: 3+ goals | Jun 25 | $126 | +$1 | +1% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ goals + assists | Jun 24 | $126 | +$1 | +1% |
| Cucho Hernández: 3+ goals | Jun 24 | $126 | +$1 | +1% |
| Ismael Díaz: 3+ goals | Jun 24 | $126 | +$1 | +1% |
| João Félix: 3+ goals | Jun 23 | $126 | +$1 | +1% |
| Michael Olise: 3+ goals | Jun 23 | $125 | +$4 | +3% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Austria? | Jun 22 | $123 | +$4 | +3% |
| Fabián Ruiz: 4+ goals + assists | Jun 21 | $122 | +$1 | +1% |
| Pelicans vs. Kings | Apr 06 | $9 | +$15 | +172% |
| Islanders vs. Sabres | Mar 30 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Mar 23 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Wild | Mar 23 | $3 | +$6 | +186% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canucks | Mar 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Lightning | Feb 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Feb 11 | $3 | +$8 | +245% |
| Bruins vs. Lightning | Feb 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Avalanche | Feb 01 | $5 | +$13 | +245% |
| Hornets vs. Warriors | Jan 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Avalanche | Jan 10 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Oilers | Jan 10 | $5 | +$7 | +150% |
| Timberwolves vs. Hawks | Jan 03 | $6 | +$10 | +170% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Dec 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Ducks | Dec 27 | $3 | +$5 | +170% |
| Canucks vs. Islanders | Dec 22 | $4 | +$5 | +133% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Dec 19 | $4 | +$9 | +203% |
| Kings vs. Pacers | Dec 08 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Nets | Dec 08 | $9 | +$6 | +64% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Dec 06 | $7 | +$3 | +45% |
| Wizards vs. Pacers | Nov 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 27 | $3 | +$2 | +54% |
| Pacers vs. Suns | Nov 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Ursula von der Leyen reelected as EU president? | Nov 12 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bronny make a 3 in his next game? | Nov 12 | $2 | +$4 | +178% |
| Trump speaks on RNC Day 3? | Jul 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Lega receive more than 9% of votes? | Jul 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Court temporarily allows Texas to arrest migrants? | Jul 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |