trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 30% | 10% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 36% | 7% | -8.9% |
| all | 27 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 37% | 4% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.8% | 4% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -19.3% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 63¢ | 46¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 24 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 23 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 22 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 27 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 25 | $2 | $0 | -17% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $29 | +$4 | +14% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 25 | $29 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 25 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 24 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 23 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 13 | $2 | −$1 | -31% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 27 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening | Jun 07 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded? | Apr 20 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 19 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York C | Apr 18 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 18 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the San Francisco 49ers? | Apr 17 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | Apr 16 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April? | Apr 15 | $21 | $0 | -0% |