trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +30.5% | +18.1% | 44% | 44% | +5.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +30.5% | +18.1% | 44% | 44% | +5.4% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +14.5% | +3.6% | 46% | 46% | +3.7% |
| all | 13 | +14.5% | +3.6% | 46% | 46% | +3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.6% | 46% | +3.7% |
| 10% | -6.3% | 46% | -6.3% |
| 15% | -15.4% | 38% | -15.3% |
| 20% | -23.7% | 31% | -23.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$14 | +141% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$19 | +126% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $29 | −$14 | -49% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $51 | +$76 | +149% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$34 | -66% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $50 | +$13 | +26% |
| Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu | Jun 13 | $48 | −$7 | -14% |
| Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$6 | -11% |
| Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World | Jun 13 | $51 | −$4 | -9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | Apr 04 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | Apr 04 | $1 | +$1 | +70% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Apr 04 | $5 | +$2 | +43% |