Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf64c…ccf5
crypto · 354 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$82 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$62 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$167
Realized+$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses284 / 62
Open positions8
Markets (closed)346 / 354
History coverage88d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day25.7
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 8 History 346 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$4
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? No 99¢ 98¢ $40 $39 −$0 (-0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? No 99¢ 99¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June? No 98¢ 97¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? No 99¢ 99¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? No 98¢ 99¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? Jun 13 $239 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? Jun 13 $79 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $303 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Jun 12 $450 +$1 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June? Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Jun 10 $39 $0 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June? Jun 07 $20 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? Jun 06 $512 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? Jun 01 $1,062 +$1 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May? May 30 $50 $0 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in May? May 30 $40 $0 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May? May 30 $40 $0 +0%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? May 30 $60 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? May 29 $397 $0 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May? May 28 $20 $0 -0%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May? May 28 $20 $0 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 26 $891 +$2 +0%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May? May 24 $39 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 09 $17 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 09 $106 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 09 $78 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 09 $56 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 09 $139 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 09 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 09 $119 −$8 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 09 $135 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 09 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 09 $232 −$7 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 09 $216 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 09 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 09 $106 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 09 $79 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 09 $87 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 09 $104 −$25 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 09 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 09 $254 −$13 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 09 $115 −$12 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 09 $191 −$14 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 09 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 09 $131 −$15 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 09 $31 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 09 $91 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 09 $104 −$20 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 09 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET May 09 $63 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 09 $33 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 09 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 09 $118 −$10 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 09 $42 −$2 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$57
finance 13% +$3
tech 6% +$2
other 2% $0
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 1m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 1m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 5m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 10m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 12m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 17m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 20m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 22m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 25m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 27m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 30m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 32m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 37m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 40m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 40m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 45m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 45m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 49m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 50m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 55m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL No 98¢ $20 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY No 98¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 19 +0.1% -9.5% 89% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 346 +1.3% -8.3% 82% 42% -9.2%
all 346 +1.3% -8.3% 82% 42% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 42% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 13% -17.9%
15% -25.1% 1% -25.8%
20% -32.5% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $167.17 · official $167.17 (match) · 2600 history records