Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T09:15:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F6 0xf646…e220 crypto 6 markets active 251d ago coverage 7d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge! high turnover
Total PnL +$10 (+0%) realized +$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +33% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +3% what you keep after slip
Net edge+3%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%3W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$442per market
Trades / day23.1pace
Kalshi-fit67%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 97% $0
crypto 3% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 6 +33.3% +20.6% 50% 50% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover23.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +20.6% 50% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here +9.1% 50% -17.9%
15% -1.4% 50% -25.8%
20% -11.1% 50% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 52% · top 2 76% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI — too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +33% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
13.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$34 · ×0.44 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.31 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage7d
Avg bet$442
Trades / day23.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Dec 24 $11 +$11 +100%
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? Oct 21 $614 $0 +0%
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? Oct 21 $1,963 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Oct 21 $23 +$23 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Oct 20 $10 +$10 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Oct 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $13 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 250d
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $13 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 251d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 168 history records