Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:51:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf641…7b6f
sports · 372 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14,153 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,045 · open −$109
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22,420
Realized−$14,045
Unrealized−$109
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses297 / 74
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$1,276
Open positions3
Markets (closed)371 / 372
History coverage30d
Avg bet$601
Trades / day107.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 3 History 371 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23,644
7 days−$23,607
14 days−$23,489
30 days−$17,779
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 Over 65¢ 100¢ $2,103 $3,218 +$1,115 (+53%)
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? No 80¢ 100¢ $2,146 $2,666 +$520 (+24%)
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5 Over 67¢ 100¢ $1,666 $2,478 +$811 (+49%)
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24? Yes 80¢ 100¢ $1,814 $2,272 +$458 (+25%)
Will Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Yes 72¢ 100¢ $1,602 $2,224 +$622 (+39%)
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? No 80¢ 100¢ $1,326 $1,654 +$328 (+25%)
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23? Yes 79¢ 100¢ $760 $967 +$207 (+27%)
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $745 $784 +$39 (+5%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 80¢ 100¢ $516 $642 +$126 (+24%)
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24? No 97¢ 100¢ $584 $602 +$18 (+3%)
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 Over 76¢ 100¢ $448 $590 +$142 (+32%)
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Yes 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score Yes 86¢ 100¢ $286 $333 +$47 (+16%)
St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23? No 94¢ 100¢ $310 $330 +$20 (+6%)
Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $273 $304 +$30 (+11%)
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $229 $254 +$25 (+11%)
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-23? Yes 49¢ 100¢ $90 $183 +$94 (+104%)
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5 Over 87¢ 100¢ $113 $129 +$16 (+15%)
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $115 $128 +$13 (+11%)
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $113 $126 +$13 (+11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $45 −$21 -47%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $288 +$45 +16%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2,383 +$1,318 +55%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $300 +$33 +11%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $300 +$33 +11%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $45 +$1 +2%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $50 −$10 -19%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $145 +$34 +23%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $84 −$25 -30%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $17 +$1 +5%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $4 −$1 -40%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $38 +$1 +3%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $137 −$4 -3%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $38 −$14 -36%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $300 +$33 +11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,963 +$151 +8%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $134 −$35 -26%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 12 $147 +$22 +15%
Will FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $182 −$16 -9%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 12 $81 +$1 +1%
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $793 +$110 +14%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 12 $98 −$37 -38%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $41 −$11 -26%
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $172 −$172 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $111 −$27 -24%
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $247 −$247 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $1,283 −$69 -5%
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $237 −$207 -87%
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $335 −$311 -93%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $3,076 −$196 -6%
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $461 −$461 -100%
Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw? Jun 12 $697 −$691 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $13 −$10 -74%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Jun 12 $744 −$744 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $909 −$909 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29? Jun 12 $1,098 −$1,091 -99%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 12 $824 −$824 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $4,584 +$121 +3%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2,790 −$1,900 -68%
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $868 −$868 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $2,641 −$1,773 -67%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $2,246 −$2,246 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29? Jun 12 $5,751 −$5,751 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% −$13,133
sports 48% −$1,021
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 30¢ $7 3m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 30¢ $7 3m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 68¢ $10 4m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 69¢ $10 4m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 69¢ $10 4m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 70¢ $5 4m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 64¢ $9 6m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 64¢ $3 7m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 16¢ $4 7m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 26¢ $4 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 83¢ $5 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 84¢ $3 25m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 25¢ $4 32m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 92¢ $20 33m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Chicago Cubs 70¢ $10 34m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 28¢ $0 34m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 28¢ $4 35m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 27¢ $8 35m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 27¢ $19 35m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 34¢ $10 35m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 34¢ $3 35m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 35¢ $5 35m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 34¢ $10 35m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 34¢ $10 35m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Kansas City Royals 8¢ $0 35m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Kansas City Royals 9¢ $5 36m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 70¢ $4 37m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 67¢ $3 37m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 69¢ $3 37m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 17¢ $6 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -27.1% -34.1% 34% 20% -57.7%
≤30d 343 +6.7% -3.5% 79% 51% -17.5%
≤90d 371 +6.8% -3.3% 80% 49% -15.3%
all 371 +6.8% -3.3% 80% 49% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover107.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.3% 49% -15.3%
10% -12.6% 15% -23.4%
15% ← realistic here -21.0% 8% -30.8%
20% -28.8% 5% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,419.64 · official $22,419.64 (match) · 3500 history records