Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:50:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf639…1d16
sports · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 55¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 50¢ 50¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 56¢ 56¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 45¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $20 −$1 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 56¢ $10 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $10 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 35¢ $19 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 50¢ $20 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $20 6h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 36¢ $20 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -6.5% -15.4% 0% 0% -15.4%
≤30d 1 -6.5% -15.4% 0% 0% -15.4%
≤90d 1 -6.5% -15.4% 0% 0% -15.4%
all 1 -6.5% -15.4% 0% 0% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 0% -15.4%
10% -23.5% 0% -23.5%
15% -30.9% 0% -30.9%
20% -37.7% 0% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.52 · official $60.52 (match) · 6 history records