trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +22.3% | +10.7% | 56% | 56% | +69.1% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +22.3% | +10.7% | 56% | 56% | +69.1% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +22.3% | +10.7% | 56% | 56% | +69.1% |
| all | 80 | +9.5% | -0.9% | 36% | 35% | +22.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.9% | 35% | +22.9% |
| 10% | -10.4% | 34% | +11.1% |
| 15% | -19.1% | 34% | +0.4% |
| 20% | -27.0% | 30% | -9.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists | Yes | 35¢ | 34¢ | $35 | $34 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A | Jun 17 | $51 | +$81 | +158% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $35 | +$15 | +43% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | Jun 17 | $20 | +$44 | +216% |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Jun 16 | $51 | +$53 | +105% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ assists | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $99 | +$89 | +90% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $102 | +$102 | +101% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ goals | Jun 13 | $26 | −$26 | -98% |
| Igor Thiago: 2+ goals | Jun 13 | $23 | −$22 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | +$2 | +19% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $224 | +$389 | +173% |
| Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $72 | +$110 | +152% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Cowboys vs. Lions | Dec 05 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Steelers | Nov 30 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Colts | Nov 30 | $15 | +$21 | +140% |
| Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State | Nov 30 | $5 | −$4 | -84% |
| Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | Nov 30 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| LSU vs. Oklahoma | Nov 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East? | Nov 28 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025? | Nov 28 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys | Nov 28 | $60 | +$92 | +153% |
| Bengals vs. Ravens | Nov 28 | $95 | −$70 | -74% |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | Nov 27 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Nov 27 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5 | Nov 27 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | Nov 27 | $20 | +$16 | +83% |
| Timberwolves vs. Thunder | Nov 27 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Raptors | Nov 27 | $20 | +$18 | +86% |
| Bucks vs. Heat | Nov 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Lions | Nov 27 | $13 | −$1 | -7% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Nov 27 | $38 | −$30 | -79% |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Nov 27 | $14 | −$2 | -11% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | Nov 26 | $51 | +$24 | +48% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline | Nov 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Nov 26 | $29 | −$8 | -27% |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Nov 26 | $73 | −$35 | -48% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 25 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5 | Nov 25 | $36 | −$3 | -8% |
| Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5 | Nov 25 | $67 | +$45 | +67% |
| Panthers vs. 49ers | Nov 25 | $12 | −$9 | -78% |
| Buccaneers vs. Rams | Nov 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Cowboys | Nov 24 | $146 | +$209 | +143% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Nov 23 | $30 | +$30 | +100% |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 22 | $30 | −$2 | -7% |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Nov 22 | $131 | −$131 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Texans | Nov 21 | $28 | +$71 | +256% |