Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf620…90e5
crypto · 481 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,638 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,618 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$4,618
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses224 / 615
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)839 / 481
History coverage2d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day1522.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 839 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,701
7 days−$4,618
14 days−$4,618
30 days−$4,618
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 74¢ 38¢ $52 $26 −$26 (-49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 0¢ 28¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $239 $0 −$239 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $239 −$239 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,930
sports 0% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $26 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $29 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $29 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $29 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $9 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $9 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $9 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $17 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $18 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $30 52m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 74¢ $30 53m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 74¢ $22 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $27 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $14 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-47.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 839 -42.1% -47.6% 27% 25% -21.5%
≤30d 839 -42.1% -47.6% 27% 25% -21.5%
≤90d 839 -42.1% -47.6% 27% 25% -21.5%
all 839 -42.1% -47.6% 27% 25% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1522.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -47.6% 25% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -52.6% 20% -29.0%
15% -57.2% 16% -35.9%
20% -61.4% 13% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.95 · official $31.95 (match) · 3500 history records