Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:24:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf61f…3ce1
crypto · 1202 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$8,983 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9,065 · open −$82
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized+$9,065
Unrealized−$82
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses230 / 936
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1166 / 1202
History coverage386d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$100
7 days−$1,123
14 days+$3,048
30 days+$543
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? Yes 25¢ 10¢ $131 $51 −$80 (-61%)
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-23%)
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 27? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 9AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Solana dip to $75 on April 7? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 17? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 6? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 28? No 12¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 12? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $297 $0 −$297 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 19? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 9AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 1? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Will Solana dip to $75 on April 1? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 28? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 26? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10? No 7¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24? No 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13? No 6¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 23? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13? No 15¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $53 −$50 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $53 −$50 -94%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $211 −$200 -95%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 11? Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $127 −$120 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $127 −$120 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $43 −$40 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $190 −$180 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $59 −$55 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 9? Jun 10 $138 −$130 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $232 +$817 +352%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $64 −$60 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? Jun 09 $169 −$160 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $232 −$220 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? Jun 08 $106 −$100 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $111 −$105 -94%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 7? Jun 08 $211 −$200 -95%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $133 −$125 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $55 −$52 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6? Jun 06 $138 −$130 -94%
Will Solana dip to $50 June 1-7? Jun 06 $106 −$100 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 1-7? Jun 06 $107 −$100 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Jun 06 $211 +$853 +403%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $117 −$110 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $90 −$85 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on June 3? Jun 04 $106 +$1,190 +1118%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $133 −$125 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2? Jun 03 $106 +$1,034 +972%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2? Jun 03 $59 +$1,094 +1866%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 2? Jun 03 $64 +$971 +1519%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $43 −$40 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1? Jun 01 $43 −$40 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 31? May 31 $69 −$65 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 30? May 30 $61 −$57 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 29? May 29 $56 −$53 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28? May 28 $64 −$60 -94%
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 27? May 27 $138 −$130 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26? May 26 $177 −$166 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25? May 25 $212 −$200 -94%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 24? May 24 $102 −$96 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24? May 24 $59 −$55 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24? May 24 $240 −$227 -95%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 24? May 24 $160 −$150 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? May 24 $160 −$150 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23? May 24 $107 −$100 -94%
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23? May 23 $108 −$101 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23? May 23 $64 −$64 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23? May 23 $53 −$53 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$11,655
tech 2% −$1,558
other 1% −$645
world 0% −$236
politics 0% −$135
sports 0% −$73
culture 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 36¢ $8 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 34¢ $21 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 35¢ $18 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 24¢ $14 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 24¢ $11 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 22¢ $48 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $15 1h
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control BUY Yes 0¢ $5 14h
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $53 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 21¢ $232 36h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 5¢ $53 36h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 2¢ $53 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 3¢ $59 37h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 11? BUY Yes 5¢ $53 2d
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 11? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 2d
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? BUY Yes 19¢ $211 2d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 11? BUY Yes 2¢ $53 2d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 11? BUY Yes 5¢ $53 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 10¢ $117 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 4¢ $107 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? BUY No 4¢ $53 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 11¢ $127 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY Yes 9¢ $117 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 14¢ $159 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 11¢ $127 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 11¢ $127 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 3¢ $43 3d
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 10? BUY Yes 10¢ $117 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -76.2% -78.5% 5% 5% -56.3%
≤30d 80 +16.4% +5.3% 11% 11% -4.3%
≤90d 302 -9.4% -18.0% 11% 11% -14.0%
all 1166 +7.9% -2.4% 20% 20% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.4% 20% -4.0%
10% -11.7% 19% -13.1%
15% -20.2% 19% -21.5%
20% -28.1% 19% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.38 · official $64.38 (match) · 1965 history records