Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T11:44:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F6 0xf61a…5943 sports 209 markets active 1h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$19,266 (-9%) realized −$19,266 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate53%109W / 97L
Whale WR67%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,022per market
Trades / day94.2pace
Fees−$3,457est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,013
7 days−$14,901
14 days−$12,026
30 days−$16,434
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 73% −$11,781
crypto 14% −$1,467
other 11% +$1,178
world 3% −$5,821
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -2.7% -12.0% 59% 43% -20.4%
≤30d 183 -8.8% -17.4% 55% 38% -16.8%
≤90d 206 -11.7% -20.1% 53% 37% -17.1%
all 206 -11.7% -20.1% 53% 37% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 37% -17.1%
10% -27.8% 29% -25.0%
15% ← realistic here -34.7% 19% -32.3%
20% -41.1% 15% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 67% (≥$1,178) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -15% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
10.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$305 vs −$527 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19,266
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses109 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$3,457
Open positions0
Markets (closed)206 / 209
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$1,022
Trades / day94.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 206 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $340 +$365 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 25 $721 +$151 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $307 +$16 +5%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 25 $473 −$40 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $638 −$638 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 25 $401 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $103 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $404 +$54 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $101 +$24 +24%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $6,153 +$242 +4%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A Jun 24 $120 +$18 +15%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $11 +$9 +86%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Jun 24 $321 +$91 +28%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $2,802 +$760 +27%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? Jun 24 $269 −$172 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11AM ET Jun 24 $627 +$212 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9AM ET Jun 24 $2,541 +$279 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $1,617 +$461 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 24 $369 +$162 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 24 $502 −$480 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $57 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 24 $711 +$171 +24%
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 23 $298 +$41 +14%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A Jun 23 $2,333 +$966 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 23 $1,806 −$494 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $207 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $400 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $204 +$49 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 23 $206 −$172 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 23 $207 −$10 -5%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG - Map 2 Winner Jun 23 $1,353 −$223 -16%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group A Jun 23 $5,396 +$74 +1%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 23 $75 −$68 -91%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE - Map 1 Winner Jun 23 $94 +$143 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 23 $2,150 +$42 +2%
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq? Jun 22 $529 −$163 -31%
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria? Jun 22 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $897 +$100 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET Jun 22 $520 −$186 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 3 Winner Jun 22 $117 −$117 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series Jun 22 $76 +$43 +57%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 21 $103 +$46 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 21 $206 −$54 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 21 $533 +$100 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 21 $471 +$65 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 21 $153 −$88 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 21 $460 +$13 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 72¢ $87 50m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 72¢ $9 50m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 72¢ $12 50m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 18¢ $113 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 18¢ $81 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 20¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 20¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 13¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 13¢ $357 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 14¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $126 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $15.00 · 3500 history records