Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:38:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf612…7e0d
crypto · 441 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,505 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,027 · open +$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73
Realized−$8,027
Unrealized+$28
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses194 / 246
Open positions1
Markets (closed)440 / 441
History coverage61d
Avg bet$123
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 440 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days−$128
14 days−$128
30 days−$2,188
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 29¢ 48¢ $45 $73 +$28 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $132 −$34 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$16 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $79 −$70 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $132 −$56 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $106 −$97 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $94 −$23 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $53 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $102 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $209 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $159 −$90 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$83 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$62 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $221 −$205 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$57 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$99 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $106 +$44 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $209 −$62 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $102 +$39 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $105 +$68 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $157 +$180 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $105 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $133 −$23 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $105 +$88 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$27 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $209 +$72 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $207 −$33 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $155 −$12 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $149 +$17 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$21 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $105 −$81 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $208 +$101 +49%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$55 -53%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$30 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$54 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$79 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$20 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$28 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$26 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$55 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $78 −$73 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $106 +$771 +729%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $105 +$34 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $106 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$29 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $53 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$28 -54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7,999
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $48 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $27 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $53 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $91 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $53 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $10 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $26 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $47 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $52 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $52 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $75 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $27 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $53 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $52 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $8 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $53 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $53 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $53 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $63 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $40 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $52 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $53 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $13 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $12 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $92 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -10.0% -18.5% 38% 33% -11.0%
≤30d 176 -12.2% -20.6% 45% 39% -17.9%
≤90d 440 -15.5% -23.5% 44% 40% -22.6%
all 440 -15.5% -23.5% 44% 40% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.5% 40% -22.6%
10% -30.8% 36% -30.0%
15% -37.5% 29% -36.7%
20% -43.6% 21% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73.42 · official $57.96 · 1107 history records