Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:49:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf607…e3d5
crypto · 168 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$56 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses91 / 77
Open positions0
Markets (closed)168 / 168
History coverage28d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day14.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$39
14 days−$39
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$19 +111%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$26 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$21 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$20 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$12 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $47 +$45 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$12 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$18 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$18 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$16 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $24 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +1.5% -8.2% 50% 50% -11.6%
≤30d 168 +0.3% -9.3% 54% 53% -11.9%
≤90d 168 +0.3% -9.3% 54% 53% -11.9%
all 168 +0.3% -9.3% 54% 53% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 53% -11.9%
10% -17.9% 51% -20.4%
15% -25.9% 48% -28.1%
20% -33.1% 43% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 494 history records