trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 15 | +9.0% | -1.3% | 73% | 20% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.3% | 20% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -10.8% | 20% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -19.4% | 20% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -27.3% | 20% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 18? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 4? | Jun 12 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on March 11? | Apr 03 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1? | Mar 10 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 5? | Feb 28 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on January 30? | Feb 05 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 15 above $430? | Feb 05 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Sep 24 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Hornets | Jan 22 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Jan 22 | $9,171 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | Nov 11 | $9 | −$3 | -30% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 11 | $12 | +$8 | +63% |
| World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4 | Nov 05 | $10 | +$10 | +100% |
| Will SK win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election? | Nov 05 | $10 | +$10 | +100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Oct 11 | $689 | −$5 | -1% |