trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +421.8% | +372.1% | 50% | 25% | +101.7% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +202.0% | +173.3% | 60% | 45% | +53.7% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +202.0% | +173.3% | 60% | 45% | +53.7% |
| all | 20 | +202.0% | +173.3% | 60% | 45% | +53.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +173.3% | 45% | +53.7% |
| 10% | +147.1% | 45% | +39.0% |
| 15% | +123.2% | 45% | +25.5% |
| 20% | +101.4% | 40% | +13.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $72 | $76 | +$3 (+5%) |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $70 | $69 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 13¢ | $61 | $55 | −$6 (-10%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $42 | $46 | +$4 (+10%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $41 | $45 | +$5 (+11%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $45 | $43 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | No | 55¢ | 54¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 26¢ | $10 | $15 | +$5 (+50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | Jun 15 | $37 | −$23 | -62% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$372 | +1849% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 12 | $200 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | Jun 09 | $31 | +$23 | +74% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $112 | +$44 | +40% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $11 | +$16 | +152% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June? | Jun 04 | $26 | +$37 | +141% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | Jun 04 | $21 | −$9 | -45% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $211 | +$113 | +54% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June? | Jun 03 | $89 | +$69 | +77% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 02 | $10 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? | Jun 01 | $10 | +$9 | +89% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $140 | −$18 | -13% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $41 | +$35 | +86% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $36 | −$4 | -11% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 30 | $3 | −$2 | -70% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $25 | −$16 | -65% |