Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5f9…3c58
other · 4 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5 -82%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-58%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -61%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 20¢ $0 1m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-82.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -80.4% -82.3% 0% 0% -91.0%
≤30d 2 -80.4% -82.3% 0% 0% -91.0%
≤90d 2 -80.4% -82.3% 0% 0% -91.0%
all 2 -80.4% -82.3% 0% 0% -91.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -82.3% 0% -91.0%
10% -84.0% 0% -91.9%
15% -85.5% 0% -92.7%
20% -86.9% 0% -93.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.42 · official $0.42 (match) · 6 history records