trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Up | 44¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Down | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Up | 32¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -79% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +150% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -19.6% | -27.3% | 36% | 27% | -30.3% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -19.6% | -27.3% | 36% | 27% | -30.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -19.6% | -27.3% | 36% | 27% | -30.3% |
| all | 11 | -19.6% | -27.3% | 36% | 27% | -30.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.3% | 27% | -30.3% |
| 10% | -34.2% | 9% | -37.0% |
| 15% | -40.6% | 9% | -43.0% |
| 20% | -46.4% | 9% | -48.6% |