Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5f2…044e
sports · 81 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$37 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized+$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses29 / 45
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions5
Markets (closed)74 / 81
History coverage134d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 5 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+15%)
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 60¢ 57¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Royal Challengers Bangalore 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Pavel Kotov Harry Wendelken 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Delhi Capitals 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders Delhi Capitals 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealand Sri Lanka 0¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? No 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Felix Auger-Aliassime 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Utah vs. Flames Utah 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca Matteo Berrettini 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistan Pakistan 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobolli Alexander Zverev 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Mumbai Indians 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1) Namibia 1¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings Delhi Capitals 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians Gujarat Titans 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Rajasthan Royals 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Kings vs. Flames Kings 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $3 +$1 +35%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 06 $5 +$1 +24%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $5 +$1 +16%
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? May 20 $3 −$3 -95%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $8 +$10 +115%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $14 +$14 +98%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 17 $5 +$2 +40%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 15 $7 +$4 +50%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders May 08 $8 −$8 -98%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga May 07 $3 −$3 -97%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings May 06 $2 −$2 -97%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings May 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score May 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 29 $10 +$10 +99%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 Apr 28 $4 −$3 -89%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 28 $9 +$15 +161%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Apr 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans Apr 26 $12 +$2 +20%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 25 $17 −$4 -22%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings Apr 25 $7 −$7 -99%
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 25 $1 $0 +29%
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score Apr 24 $4 −$4 -98%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans Apr 24 $11 +$8 +77%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026? Apr 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings Apr 23 $3 +$5 +151%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me Apr 23 $2 −$1 -33%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 22 $22 −$17 -75%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals Apr 21 $3 −$3 -97%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? Apr 21 $6 −$5 -82%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians Apr 20 $1 −$1 -97%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 19 $11 +$23 +208%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings Apr 18 $5 +$1 +14%
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Apr 18 $6 +$5 +76%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Apr 18 $13 +$14 +110%
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobolli Apr 18 $1 −$1 -98%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 17 $3 −$3 -98%
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Apr 17 $5 +$2 +38%
Kings vs. Flames Apr 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashima Apr 16 $25 +$4 +14%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings Apr 16 $6 −$1 -16%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $2 $0 -7%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $3 $0 -3%
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego Apr 14 $3 +$2 +58%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Utah vs. Flames Apr 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Apr 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Apr 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Apr 12 $1 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$46
other 11% +$2
economics 2% −$6
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 14¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win BUY 37¢ $4 1h
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 29h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 41h
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY Yes 60¢ $7 3d
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY Yes 21¢ $3 3d
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 71¢ $8 3d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev SELL Flavio Cobolli 24¢ $4 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 17¢ $3 5d
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL Yes 78¢ $6 6d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva SELL Mirra Andreeva 100¢ $6 6d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Mirra Andreeva 86¢ $5 6d
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 62¢ $5 8d
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? BUY No 0¢ $3 23d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants SELL Rajasthan Royals 87¢ $18 24d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Rajasthan Royals 40¢ $5 24d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Rajasthan Royals 39¢ $3 24d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad SELL Sunrisers Hyderabad 97¢ $28 25d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 38¢ $5 25d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 52¢ $3 25d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 63¢ $2 25d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 58¢ $4 25d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Delhi Capitals 87¢ $7 26d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Delhi Capitals 61¢ $5 26d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings SELL Lucknow Super Giants 92¢ $11 28d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Lucknow Super Giants 51¢ $1 28d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Lucknow Super Giants 49¢ $1 28d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Lucknow Super Giants 58¢ $1 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +24.6% +12.7% 100% 100% +11.4%
≤30d 8 +34.6% +21.8% 88% 88% +42.9%
≤90d 65 -12.9% -21.2% 42% 42% +2.4%
all 74 -14.6% -22.8% 39% 39% +1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.8% 39% +1.5%
10% -30.2% 32% -8.2%
15% -36.9% 27% -17.1%
20% -43.1% 24% -25.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.84 · official $33.61 · 234 history records